Prediction market bettors are the new political pundits. Why are we listening (australia) — The Guardian Australia
The Guardian Australia ·australia ·1 hour ago

Prediction market bettors are the new political pundits. Why are we listening

Prediction market bettors are making political predictions by combining the wisdom of the masses with professional analysis. While traditional polls and pundits typically rely on big data and expert opinions, prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket combine big data with expert opinion to make more accurate predictions about elections and other public policy issues.

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Published 02 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Updated 02 Nov 2026, 11:23 UTC

Summary by OZbrief Editorial. Original report: The Guardian Australia. Editorial policy · Corrections